Summary:
– Ukraine strike on Crimea Bridge complicates both civilian and military logistics to Crimea – the former more so than the latter;
– The bridge attack is likely to be followed by anticipated offensive operations by Ukraine in Zaporizhzhia toward Melitopol;
– The bridge attack + Melitopol offensive is meant to isolate Crimea;
– Ukraine’s offensive will leave its forces overextended, depleted and vulnerable to Russian forces who have throughout the duration of Ukraine’s offensives preserved their manpower and equipment;
26 min
Content Source/Owner: The New Atlas
References:
Guardian – Key bridge linking Crimea to Russia hit by huge explosion:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/oct/08/crimea-kerch-bridge-explosions-russia-ukraine
Forbes – Ukraine’s Counteroffensives Appear To Be Part Of A Much Bigger Plan—To Divide The Russian Army:
https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/10/03/ukraines-counteroffensives-appear-to-be-part-of-a-much-bigger-plan-to-divide-the-russian-army/
Julian Ropcke (Bild) – on the Crimean Bridge attack;
https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1578629986784641024
Jullian Ropcke (Bild) – on the reality of the limits of Ukraine’s offensive:
https://twitter.com/JulianRoepcke/status/1577308319848480769
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