Excess deaths, the data | Dr. John Campbell | Sun, Aug 28, 2022 (Video)
15 min
Content Source/Owner: Dr. John Campbell
Comprehensive Summary:
Champion mountain biker dies:
https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2022/aug/24/mountain-bike-rider-rab-wardell-dies-aged-37
Rab Wardell wins Scottish MTB XC Championships
Dies in his sleep a few days later at 37
Scottish cycling:
We have very little information at this stage,
Katie Archibald:
He had suffered a cardiac arrest
the paramedics arrived within minutes, but his heart stopped and they couldn’t bring him back
Inquiry into excess deaths in Scotland since the start of the pandemic:
https://data.gov.scot/coronavirus-covid-19/detail.html#excess_deaths
Scottish government:
Deaths in Scotland are 11% above average for this time of year and have been above the average for the past 26 weeks
Indications and utility of cardiac genetic testing in athletes:
June 16th 2022
https://academic.oup.com/eurjpc/advance-article/doi/10.1093/eurjpc/zwac080/6596972
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2022/06/220616194624.htm
Up to 80% of athletes who die suddenly had no symptoms or family history of heart disease
Excess all-cause mortality across counties in the United States, March 2020 to December 2021:
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9094106/
An estimated 936,911 excess deaths occurred during 2020 and 2021,
of which 171,168 (18.3%) were not assigned to Covid-19 on death certificates
(as an underlying cause of death)
Excess mortality in England and English regions:
England and Wales
For 14 of the past 15 weeks, around 1,000 extra deaths each week, (none of which are due to covid
If the current trajectory continues
Number of non-Covid excess deaths will soon outstrip covid deaths this year (2022)
Circulatory and diabetes, cancers
Prof Carl Heneghan, director of the Centre for Evidence Based Medicine, Oxford University:
Excess deaths began to increase noticeably from around the end of April.
They have stayed high compared with the past seven years.
The signals in the data suggest something is not quite right
Sustained rises in deaths should trigger an investigation,
that may involve accessing the raw data on death certificates,
a random sample of medical notes,
or analysing autopsies.
I feel there is a lack of clear thinking at the moment and, when it comes to people’s health and wellbeing, you can’t wait – it’s unacceptable
England and Wales, 681 excess deaths at home, (28.1% more than expected):
https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/excess-mortality-in-england-and-english-regions
Our world in data excess deaths:
https://ourworldindata.org/excess-mortality-covid
Excess deaths = Reported deaths – Expected deaths
P scores
People who would have died this year from old age and natural causes, died in the past 2 years from covid
Therefore, this years excess deaths should be below average.